Powertrains: 2030 and beyond

A Market Outlook for the U.S.
Sep 2025 | Impulse | English

U.S. Trails in EV Race—Can OEMs Profit While Catching Up?

Battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) are expected to dominate long-term, yet range-extended electric vehicles (REEVs) and hybrids (HEVs) will play a crucial bridging role over the next decade. While ICE volumes decline, profit pools remain significant in specific segments, requiring careful portfolio steering.
 

Executive Summary & Recommendation

  • Market Dynamics: Strong push for BEVs, but infrastructure gaps and affordability challenges sustain demand for REEVs/HEVs in the medium term.
  • OEM Implications: Diversified powertrain portfolios are not optional—strategic flexibility is key to capturing value and mitigating risks.
  • Supplier Opportunities: Growth potential in e-motors, batteries, transmissions, and REEV-specific components as volumes rise.
  • Competitive Pressure: China sets cost and speed benchmarks, requiring U.S. players to accelerate innovation and partnerships.
     

Recommendation: U.S. OEMs and suppliers should adopt a dual-track strategy—investing in BEV leadership while leveraging REEV/HEV as transitional profit pools. Early positioning in REEV-specific modules and system integration will differentiate winners. Porsche Consulting supports stakeholders with tailored roadmaps, profitability scenarios, and go-to-market strategies to secure competitiveness in the electrified era.

16%

of US car sales are EVs compared to 55% in China
5

powertrain types remain relevant over the next decade
~5%

cost advantage of REEVs compared to BEVs

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