More people than ever before are traveling by rail in Germany. Freight transport, too, is booming in this central European transit country. The German Federal Ministry for Transport estimates that by 2040, passenger rail traffic will increase by 8 percent. And freight traffic by 35 percent. Passengers and commercial freight customers alike expect punctual and reliable service both day and night. And that requires one thing above all: “freie Bahn” — which means both unobstructed train tracks and unimpeded progress in general. In other words, a rail infrastructure that is sufficiently dimensioned and resistant to failure. For years, however, the network in Germany has been shrinking. And many of its remaining tracks and shunts need repairs. Too few of the signal towers and systems are state of the art. Because of this overall situation, lines are overcrowded and service can be delayed due to technical problems and corrective maintenance.
The German government is investing more in rail transport now than in the past. The network is not shrinking any further. Yet expansion and new construction projects are not meeting demand in either their extent or pace. For all the critique they face, rail companies do not have it easy. Marc Zacherl, Senior Partner and Global Lead Transportation at the Porsche Consulting management consultancy, is convinced that “greater stability when planning infrastructure projects and more reliability in the funding for longer-term future investments” would help structure rail services to meet demand. In short, the rail system needs greater entrepreneurial scope in order to develop more freely. And planning risks need to be reduced in order not to function like bumper blocks on German rail lines.
One of the main problems is funding. And this depends on the owner of the rail system, namely the German state. In 2024, the Federal Republic of Germany invested more than 16 billion euros in rail infrastructure — nearly twice as much as it did five years ago. However, the most important project, which is a general refurbishment of the 40 most crucial rail corridors by 2030, is not yet fully funded. Of the requisite 45 billion euros, only 27 billion have been released by the owner. A funding shortage is expected to arise by late 2027.
Critics claim that funding for the rail system is piecemeal in nature. Instead of being able to confirm long-term projects, the rail company Deutsche Bahn anxiously waits to see whether new funding is approved from year to year. When the federal budget is tight, money only trickles in. Or, when a new government is formed, it can set new priorities and dispense with previous ones. These changes in course make it hard to plan long-term projects. The situation is made all the more complex by the fact that there are nearly 200 different funding pots for infrastructure projects. How much money for which projects will come from which pots? Experts have therefore long been calling for one infrastructure fund that also draws on private sources of capital, that consolidates finances, and that can be used over decades. This would give more room to maneuver.
Uncertain planning also affects business partners, service providers, locomotive and carmakers, and contractors for large-scale construction projects. It also affects cargo companies that seek to use environmentally friendly rail services. Porsche Consulting wanted to know the crucial concerns and ideas of companies and organizations that work closely together with the rail system, and spoke with five leading experts.